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Is it all over bar the shouting?

September 10th 2007 05:50
Yet another tsunami warning has issued from the pollsters: Howard is going down 57 to 43 percent TPP. So when Parliament, as is more than likely, rises for the last time this week we'll be into a fabulous campaign.

It has all the pathos of an old Western movie - the embattled minority fighting off the hordes of Mexicans or Indians, standing and fighting to the last man. Or will the gattling gun suddenly pop out from under the canvas at the last minute and kittle the marauding natives? Will the cavalry troop turn up in time?

Our uncle Christopher (the Ven C.Pearson) has his own views which you can find in last weekend's Australian in the Inquirer section (under "opinion" on line). His case is well reasoned and hard to fault: opinion polls are creations of art and in the absence of falling masonry from the battlements it seems hard to see why the electorate would have a set against the Government.


I think that the Government has under-estimated the degree of antipathy that ordinary workers feel for the new IR laws. I always thought that it was a bridge too far. I recall saying so at the time over lunch at the Mixing Pot - my views were not greeted with enthusiasm.

The right has an analog of the leftoidal infatuation with the latte suburbs. Most of our media does not believe that anything further west than Strathfield actually exists, let alone has views that need to be considered. An honourable exception, as he is in many things, is Michael Duffy. He has a lively interest in what people in Sydney's west do and think.

If the government comes undone at the next election, I believe it will have its IR laws to blame for it. And it will be all their own doing - as Mr Abbott opioned about Mr Rudd and the dancing girls.
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